Trade Idea – Equifax


Historical share price performance of Equifax in USD (source: Yahoo Finance)

On 30 January 2018 the Equifax position has been sold at USD 124.1. The realized unannualized profit during appr. 4 months holding period is 35.78% before any taxes and fees.

Link to the IR site of the company for background data and insights.


Trade Idea – Celgene


On 27 October 2017 long position has been opened at USD 96.48 in Celgene. The global biopharmaceutical corporation formed a positive mid-term outlook: the USD 13 bn estimated revenue for 2017 is projected to grow by 14.5% CAGR to reach USD 19-20 bn by 2020.

The key issue was that this revised guideance is lower compared to the previous one, therefore the shares have plunged from an all time high above USD 145 to below USD 100 recently. The current trade idea is a bet on the feeling that the market probably overreacted the story and the company can offer significant upside in the future.

Trade Idea – Equifax



Let me draw your attention to a recent corporate story caused by a massive data breach which easily can be a decent case study for business schools and tech universities as well. Equifax is a consumer data reporting agency aggregating info about more than 800 million individual and over 80 million businesses globally.

In September 2017, the company announced a cyber-security breach between May and July 2017, where cybercriminals gained access to appr. 140 million U.S. Equifax consumers’ personal data.┬áThis hack was one of the largest and most descructive data breach in world history. Needless to say, the recent sale of appr. 2 million stock by top executives didn’t help to handle the situation and might easily be one of the most disadvantageous timing of an insider activity ever occured.


Historical share price performance of Equifax (USD), source: Yahoo Finance


Despite these numerous drawbacks the company’s cash rich profile with stable historical growth still offers a good entry point with high risk. On 15 September 2017 long position has been opened at USD 91.4.